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Nord Pool Price Forecast: This Week's Electricity Market Trends & Analysis

Market Analysis6 min readMarket Analyst

Our weekly analysis of the Nord Pool electricity market provides detailed forecasts and insights to help you optimize your electricity usage and save money.

This Week's Price Forecast (Jan 15-21, 2025)

Monday-Wednesday: Moderate Prices

  • Expected range: €0.08-0.12/kWh
  • Peak hours: 17:00-20:00 (€0.14-0.16/kWh)
  • Cheapest window: 00:00-05:00 (€0.05-0.07/kWh)
  • Weather impact: Mild temperatures, moderate wind

Thursday-Friday: Price Increase Expected

  • Expected range: €0.10-0.15/kWh
  • Peak hours: 18:00-20:00 (€0.18-0.22/kWh)
  • Cheapest window: 01:00-06:00 (€0.06-0.08/kWh)
  • Driver: Increased industrial demand

Weekend: Significant Price Drop

  • Expected range: €0.05-0.09/kWh
  • Cheapest period: Saturday-Sunday afternoons
  • Savings potential: 40-50% vs weekdays
  • Best for: Heavy appliances, EV charging

Market Analysis

  1. Increased renewable generation keeping prices moderate
  2. Weekend effect stronger than usual (20-45% discount)
  3. Wind power variability creating hourly fluctuations
  4. Hydro reservoir levels stable across Nordic region

Regional Variations

  • Southern Norway (NO2): Highest prices (15-20% above average)
  • Central Sweden (SE3): Most competitive prices
  • Eastern Denmark (DK2): Wind-dependent price swings
  • Finland (FI): Stable, moderate pricing

Optimization Strategy for This Week

Best Times to Use Electricity

  1. Tonight 00:00-05:00: Minimal prices all week
  2. Saturday-Sunday 13:00-17:00: Weekend peak savings
  3. Weekday nights 23:00-06:00: Reliable low prices

Best Days for Heavy Usage

  1. Saturday: 40% cheaper than weekday average
  2. Sunday: 35% cheaper than weekday average
  3. Monday: Avoid morning hours (industrial demand)

Weather Impact on Prices

Wind Generation

  • High wind: Prices drop 10-20%
  • Low wind: Prices increase 15-25%
  • Forecast: Moderate winds, stable generation

Temperature Effects

  • Mild weather: Reduced heating demand
  • Colder snaps: Prices spike 25-50%
  • Forecast: Seasonal temperatures, moderate demand

Tips for This Week

For Home Users

  • Schedule laundry for Saturday-Sunday
  • Run dishwasher at night (23:00-06:00)
  • EV charging cheapest Thursday-Friday nights
  • Heating: Pre-heat during cheap hours

For Businesses

  • Shift production to weekend if possible
  • Schedule high-consumption processes for nights
  • Monitor prices closely Thursday-Friday
  • Consider demand response during peak hours

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Tags: Nord Pool, price forecast, electricity market, market analysis, electricity trends